Arbital Health recognizes a career defined by innovation, mentorship, and practical impact on Actuarial Sciences.
SAN FRANCISCO, September 22, 2025 – Arbital Health, a healthcare technology company that provides critical infrastructure for providers and payers to successfully manage risk-based contracts, congratulates Dr. Ian Duncan, Ph.D., FSA, FIA, FCIA, FCA, CSPA, MAAA, Arbital Health Senior Advisor and Board Member, for his election as the 2025–2026 President-Elect and Vice-Chair of the Society of Actuaries (SOA).
The SOA is the world’s largest professional association for actuaries, representing more than 34,000 members worldwide. Its mission is to advance actuarial knowledge, support professional development, and promote the application of actuarial science in addressing society’s most complex challenges, from financial security to healthcare to emerging analytical and technological opportunities. With its global reach and commitment to innovation, the SOA plays a central role in shaping the profession and ensuring its relevance in a rapidly changing world.
Duncan speaking at the Arbital Health 2025 Summit: The Future of Value-Based Care & Risk Contracting |
Dr. Duncan’s own career reflects that global and forward-looking perspective. Trained as an actuary in the U.K., he has applied his expertise across the UK, Canada, South Africa, Latin America, and the U.S. Along the way, he pioneered predictive analytics in healthcare in the 1990s, advanced managed care program evaluation in the 2000s, and founded or co-founded five healthcare analytics companies including Santa Barbara Actuaries, which was acquired by Arbital in 2023. At Arbital, Dr. Duncan continues to influence how the company applies advanced actuarial modeling and AI-powered automation to transform value-based contract management, centralize fragmented data, and accelerate insights, making complex risk-based arrangements more efficient and actionable. |
“Ian has helped shape the actuarial profession for decades,” said Andrew Mackenzie, FSA, CERA, MAAA, Chief Science Officer at Arbital Health and co-founder of Santa Barbara Actuaries. “It has been a privilege to work with and learn from him as he built a thriving healthcare consultancy. His principles continue to inform and inspire our work at Arbital as we develop SaaS solutions that bring actuarial rigor to value-based care.”
Known for both his entrepreneurial drive and his commitment to mentorship, Dr. Duncan has taught and guided more than 1,000 actuarial students as Adjunct Professor of Actuarial Statistics at the University of California, Santa Barbara. He has authored more than 80 peer-reviewed papers and several books, including Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling and Managing and Evaluating Healthcare Intervention Programs, which are required reading for all healthcare actuarial students.
| "It is an honor to be elected by my peers to lead the Society of Actuaries,” said Dr. Duncan. “Actuarial science is evolving rapidly, and I see enormous opportunity for our profession to apply its expertise in new areas, embrace innovation, and address some of society’s most complex challenges. In my work, including at organizations like Arbital, I’ve seen how applying actuarial principles in practice can drive meaningful impact, and I look forward to supporting the profession in doing the same." |
“Actuarial science is evolving rapidly, and I see enormous opportunity for our profession to apply its expertise in new areas, embrace innovation, and address some of society’s most complex challenges"
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As SOA President, Dr. Duncan will help guide the profession at a time of accelerating change, with new opportunities emerging in data science, healthcare, climate risk, and beyond. His election reflects the same values Arbital is built on: expanding the actuarial toolkit, applying advanced analytics to healthcare, and empowering actuaries to thrive in non-traditional, entrepreneurial paths.
About Arbital Health
Arbital Health provides the critical infrastructure for providers and payers to successfully manage risk-based contracts. With the industry’s leading value-based actuaries and robust AI-powered platform, Arbital Health accelerates contract performance monitoring and decision-making, centralizes fragmented data, and automates contract reconciliation across all major risk models. By reducing complexity and administrative burden, Arbital Health ensures value-based care contracts deliver on their promise of better patient outcomes and sustainable financial performance. Arbital Health is led by a best-in-class team of healthcare actuaries, engineers, and industry veterans, and backed by leading investors Valtruis, Transformation Capital, Shaper Capital, and Healthy Ventures. For more information, visit ArbitalHealth.com.
Contacts
Rachel DiMartino | marketing@arbitalhealth.com